Ten years since Lehman: almost every investor has been a winner

It has now been ten years since Lehman's Brothers was allowed to fail. It has been even longer since the UK government had to bail out Northern Rock; an event which led to people queueing on the streets trying to frantically draw out money and worrying whether our economy would ever return to normal.

As the harsh reality of the sub-prime mortgage crisis really hit home, the UK stock market fell 10% in a week, and had fallen 25% within a month. Global stock markets would continue to fall for a further six months, before bottoming on 9 March 2009.

However, looking back over the past decade, anyone brave enough to invest, when everyone else was terrified, would have made money in pretty much any asset class. It didn't matter what you bought - bonds, property or equities - just as long as you invested. Gains would still have been made.

Sector winners & losers

Analysis of the 2000 plus funds, which have been available to UK investors over the 10 years shows that, with the exception of money market funds (which invest in cash-like assets), every single 'average' fund in every single sector returned more than 30%*.

The best performing sector over the decade was IA Technology and Telecommunications, which returned 338%*. Second was IA Japanese Smaller Companies (311%*) and third IA North American Smaller Companies (294%*). In comparison, the IA UK All Companies sector average return was 125%* while the return on cash would have been 5.9%*.

While the IA Specialist sector also enjoyed good returns of 65.5%*, it is a mish-mash of all sorts of different funds, investing in different niche areas. And when we drilled down further, on an individual fund basis, it was easy to see the exception to the rule: there were two areas that disappointed; energy and Latin America. Some funds lost as much as 50%* over the decade.

Star fund picks

Legg Mason Japan Equity, which is on the Chelsea Selection, was the best performer out of all the 2000 plus funds. It returned a stunning 682%*.

The top ten performing funds from the Chelsea Selection are shown on the table below*.

Position Fund Performance*
1st

Legg Mason Japan Equity

682%
2nd

AXA Framlington Global Technology

542.5%
3rd

Baillie Gifford Global Discovery

517%
4th

Marlborough UK Micro Cap Growth

475%
5th

Polar Capital Healthcare Opportunities

407%
6th

R&M UK Equity Smaller Companies

394%
7th

Marlborough Special Situations

376%
8th

Lindsell Train UK Equity

338.5%

9th

AXA Framlington American Growth

328.5%
10th

AXA Framlington UK Smaller Companies

326%

Past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns. You may not get back the amount originally invested, and tax rules can change over time. Darius's views are his own and do not constitute financial advice.

*Source:FE Analytics, total returns in sterling, 15 September 2008 to 10 September 2018.

Published on 11/09/2018